India Today Poll of Goa: BJP near 21, Cong double digit, AAP max 3
INDIA TODAY, NEW DELHI | 14 October 2016 22:08 IST
The India Today-Axis Opinion Poll has predicted that the saffron party will retain Goa by winning 17-21 seats in the 40-member state Assembly.
The Indian Army's surgical strikes across the Line of Control in Pakistan-Occupied Kashmir seem to have galvanised the voters around the BJP which will win poll-bound Goa, Manipur and Uttarakhand if elections in these states are held today.
The India Today-Axis Opinion Poll has predicted that the saffron party will retain Goa by winning 17-21 seats in the 40-member state Assembly.
NO ANTI-INCUMBENCY
The opinion poll says there is no anti-incumbency against the BJP in Goa and the party still commands a 38 per cent vote share in the coastal state. It also appears that the recent rebellion within the state unit of the RSS has had little impact on the Laxmikant Parsekar government.
When asked to rate the performance of the Parsekar government, a whopping 76 per cent of the respondents ticked 'Good', four per cent said it was 'Very good', and 18 per cent said it was 'Bad'.
The opposition Congress is expected to be a close second by winning 13-17 seats in the 40-member Goa Assembly. The Aam Aadmi Party, which recently became the third major party to fish in the troubled Goa waters, may be in for some disappointment with just 1-3 seats.
Other parties in the state, which include the Maharashtrawadi Gomantak Party and rebel RSS leader Subhash Velingkar's Goa Suraksha Manch, may win 3-5 seats.
THE PARRIKAR FACTOR
When asked if the BJP government has lost its popular support after Manohar Parrikar went to Delhi to join PM Modi's Cabinet, 29 per cent of the respondents said it has while 37 per cent said it did not matter.
Parrikar, who recently said he would not have come to Delhi if he was not given the Defence portfolio, was also picked by 19 per cent of those polled as their choice for the Chief Minister.
But incumbent Parsekar led the popularity chart with a 31 per cent approval. Digambar Kamat (14 per cent) and Subhash Welingkar (4 per cent) also made it to the list.
ELECTION ISSUES
Inflation is the biggest issue for voters in Goa according to 43 per cent of those polled in the India Today-Axis survey. Employment (28 per cent) and corruption (19 per cent) were the other two major issues.
Environment in one of India's most popular destinations was a concern for three per cent of the voters, while two per cent of the respondents wanted better infrastructure for tourism.
Moreover, one per cent of the state wants both illegal mining in the state to stop and land mafia to be checked.
In a state with predominantly Christian population where the BJP's pet theme of beef ban finds an exception, communalism or cow protection was not an issue at all. Zero per cent voted for it.
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This Survey is anti-Goan. This survey has projected Goans are No.1 Communal, Goans are No.2 Corrupt, as usual they are projected Goans are No.1 Drunkers in their Films.
Survey is quite close but don't think Congress will get this much. As per my calculations BJP-MGP if alliance stays intact will get 22 to 25 seats, Congress will get 7 to 9 seats, AAP 1 to 2, Goa Forward 0 to 1, Others 2 to 3 seats. All the factors taken into consideration but if BJP MGP alliance doesn't happen then both the parties will be at loss; Congress or AAP will gain in this situation.
Survey was giving 47 Seats for BJP in Delhi, Congress 16 Seats and AAP only 7 Seats. But People gave 67 Seats for AAP, Congress 0 and BJP 3 Seats.
Aap will win the election, BJP will not stay in opposition also forget about Congress, Kejriwal tum aage badho hum tumhare saath hain